Note: This point of view is based on polling released on April 15, 2026. The source link is included at the end of the piece.
The latest polling conducted by Pallas Data and analyzed by Qc125 suggests a significant reshuffling in Quebec’s political landscape. According to the survey discussed in L’actualité, the Parti libéral du Québec has moved into first place with roughly around 32% support, while the Parti Québécois has slipped slightly and now trails by a few points. At the same time, support for the governing Coalition Avenir Québec has fallen sharply, placing it roughly on par with the Parti conservateur du Québec and well behind the two leading parties.
Taken together, these numbers point to a broader transition in Quebec politics. The PQ remains competitive, but its slight decline suggests that some of its earlier surge may have been fueled by protest votes during the CAQ’s decline rather than a deep ideological shift toward sovereignty. Meanwhile, the Liberals appear to be benefiting from a gradual return of voters seeking a more traditional federalist option, particularly in urban and diverse regions.
The CAQ’s drop reflects a degree of fatigue with a long-governing party and a fragmentation of its previous coalition, with its former supporters dispersing across multiple parties rather than consolidating behind a single alternative. In this context, the Conservatives maintain a noticeable presence as a protest-oriented force that could influence electoral dynamics even if their seat prospects remain uncertain.
Overall, the survey suggests that Quebec is entering a more fluid and competitive political phase in which voters are still searching for a clear direction, making the next election increasingly unpredictable and potentially reshaping the balance between federalist and sovereigntist forces in the province
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